Coronavirus – No need to panic!
Coronavirus – No need for panic, just read some answers from Quora to educate yourself.
“The corona virus has a mortality rate of 2%. It is especially infectious for elders, infants and people with underlying diseases. Up until Feb.17th, over 70,635 patients have been diagnosed with corona virus in China, of which 1772 were dead and most of whom are elder citizens more than 65 years old.”
Not first answer but interesting one:
“It is not worth worrying much because of an outbreak of coronavirus. The panic is not justified and the media exaggerate the level of threat. Yes, indeed the virus is quite dangerous for humans and the world’s population as a whole. Our immunity is not capable of properly protecting us from the virus since the virus is new and we are not ready for it.
I give brief statistics and an analogy with previous outbreaks of coronavirus: for example, in 2002 there was also an outbreak of the dangerous SARS virus in China, which claimed the lives of every tenth infected with this coronavirus (10% of the total number of infected). Also in the Middle East in 2012-2015, an outbreak of a dangerous virus was also recorded, which killed up to 35% of the total number of infected.
The new coronavirus from China kills about 3% of the total number of infected.”
“First, it appears that younger people have much more resistance to SARS-CoV-2 taking hold in their bodies when they are exposed to the virus. For example, patients under the age of 20 comprised only 2% of the confirmed cases (note: some of this may be due to adverse selection bias, which I will discuss in the next takeaway).
Second, once younger people are infected with the virus, survival rates are higher. As of February 11th, there has only been a single person (out of nearly a thousand cases) under the age of 20 that is confirmed to have died from COVID-19.
Meanwhile, the case fatality rate increases exponentially with each successive decade after the age of 40. Based on these reported case fatality rates, if you are over the age of 80, you are 69x more likely to die than someone under the age of 40.”
“Who is more likely to die? Male smokers over the age of 40 with diabetes have a death rate over 10%. Who is least likely to die? Females under age 40 with no health problems will have a fatality rate less than 1%. Women really are the stronger gender.”
“Currently, the number of infections AND deaths are doubling about every 4 or 5days. If that rate is sustained, everybody in the world will be exposed by sometime in July, and over 100 million people will die.
: And, killing 100,000,000 people will be, in sheer numbers, the worst epidemic in world history.
You may think, but there’s still a 98% chance that I personally will survive. And, it appears you’ll be right (unless you are an over-60 male like me, in which case your chances drop to 95%, or 90% if you smoke).
But the economic and political effects will be unpredictable in detail, but predictably HUGE. And they will affect everybody!
So, yeah. For now at least, you should consider it really dangerous. But if they report that nCoV can only be transmitted by symptomatic individuals, then you can relax some.
Unless you live in China.
In that case, you may still be f###ed.”
P.S.: Question I asked myself specifically about students in Milan
Just follow the question and lets just wait for some good answers.
“I don’t think I’d want to be somewhere with poor health care or where I didn’t have friend or family during this pandemic. So it depends where you come from and how rooted you are in Italy. Italy does have one of the best healthcare systems in the world though. That said I don’t think any country is prepared properly for pandemic on this scale. Getting on a plane right now might itself be risky. Still if you would rather be in your home country as things deteriorate around you, as to a large extent they are almost certainly going to, I would get a move on, because it is likely to only get more difficult and dangerous to travel over time.”
“Could be the fact that in Italy there is the biggest chinese community in Europe after the UK and France.
There are also strong economic ties between China and Italy so lots of people go back and forth from China, but I am just guessing and nobody really knows the answer. There are big Chinese communities all over Europe so this seems to me a weak argument.
I think the real reason is that you cannot find what you are not looking for. Other states are just keeping a low profile and treat this as a bad flu.”
“Italy immediately closed flights to and from China, placed termal scannings in airports, invented and used a system that made it possible to test the presence of the coronavirus in a few hours and did thousands of tests a day on people with suspicious stories. It followed all security protocols with extreme rigidity and also had diplomatic problems with China for this reason.”
The measures adopted by Italy have been stricter than most of the countries in the world, this makes me think that the virus was probably in Europe even before the world health emergency in January started.”
“Well… i am living in Italy, more or less 200km from the “hot-zone”.
I’m not concerned about the virus itself (2% death ratio is nothing and mostly related to low immunity systems) but about the collective psychosis.
People are running to buy food, beverage and masks, till here isn’t a big deal but this “Climate” is having a very serious conseguences in particular with restaurants and coffes, moreover i’m hearing more and more about racist attacks, both verbal and physical, to asian people only because they “probably carry the virus”.
I’m worried about Ignorant people, not the virus.
A good organization and logic decisions can contain the situation and limit the possible “spread” of the virus.
Panic and ignorance are the worst enemies here, i hope this will end soon before it creates worse social problems.”
“Because the Chinese couple that was diagnosed of having Corona, had spent the last two weeks touring the most popular sites throughout Italy.
In the other countries, it was some businessmen or new tourists and you could track their contacts and contain it. For Italy tens of thousands could have been exposed …no wonder they are scared.”